The idea that you should have a cash reserve equal to three to six months of your living expenses would almost certainly make any “Ten Commandments” list for personal finance.
It might also be one of the least obeyed commandments, as suggested in a recent post by my colleague Ellen Rinaldi. I wholeheartedly agree with Ellen’s emphasis on having a cash reserve—savings stashed in a bank account or money market fund—before getting too focused on investing.
I’ve had a hard time deciding which way the economic and investment winds are blowing, so I decided to make a list of the things I think have changed and those that haven’t.
Is it the 1930s all over again? If that were true, it would be one very good reason to panic, sell everything, and put your money in a mattress. But it turns out that the comparisons between today and the Great Depression are (mostly) bunk.
You should know by now (if you’ve been reading the papers or the blogs) that the stock market crash of 1929 did not cause the Great Depression. Instead, the Depression came about because of a flawed economic response in Washington. As the economy cooled in the early 1930s, rising bank failures led to sharp contraction in credit. Congress balanced the budget and imposed trade tariffs. The result was a downward spiral in the economy and massive unemployment. The economic collapse led to the failure of the financial system—notably, a surge in bank failures and collapsing stock prices.
