There’s a good reason why regulators require financial firms to include, when mentioning the past returns or ratings of a mutual fund, the warning: “Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.”
The warning is true. History is an imperfect guide to the future, or historians would be fabulously wealthy investment sages.
But history does seem, if not to repeat, to rhyme from time to time. Read more »
In response to my most recent post, “Give ‘thoughtomation’ a try,” I received this helpful idea from a reader:
“Why don’t you post a spreadsheet with comparisons of saving early vs saving late in life? That is the most important thing young investors need to see.”
I recently attended the Pennsylvania Conference for Women with a group of Vanguard colleagues. The conference featured an impressive array of speakers who focused on a broad range of personal and professional development topics for women. Sessions were offered on building a small business, leveraging social media, cultivating mentor relationships, and seemingly everything in between. But given that I work in the financial services industry, and that my area of focus at Vanguard is investment advice, I was most interested in the breakout session led by money coach Farnoosh Torabi, author of Psych Yourself Rich.
Nowadays, e-mail inboxes are routinely flooded with scams—from missing pet and child notices, to official-looking IRS refund communications, to the infamous Nigerian money solicitations. Social media has opened up private lives to public viewing and also significantly aided identity thieves. I field numerous calls on this topic every week. In fact, I received an inquiry from a Vanguard crew member just the other day related to what has become a very common e-mail scam. Read more »
There continues to be a lot of focus on the consequences of today’s low-rate environment. In such an environment, one of the most important things an investor can do is economize on the cost of the financial services they’re buying (translation: find lower expense ratio funds!).
Still, it never ceases to amaze me how much people continue to neglect the “silent killer” of long-term returns—high investment costs. Every now and then, I see articles that talk about the bite that investment costs can take out of a portfolio over time. But many times, these articles talk about how much of your “returns” an investment manager takes via fees. For example, if a fund charges a 1% fee and you anticipate a 5% gross return, it’s often observed that you’re giving up “20% of your return” (1% of the 5%) to costs. Jack Bogle likes to point out that the cost is dramatically higher when thought of as a percentage of after-inflation, after-tax returns: accounting for inflation of 2% and effective taxes of (say) 20% on the total return, your after-tax, “real” return is reduced to 2%, and a 1% fee is 50% of that!
